BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Utah State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Utah State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.73 |
22.18 (-2.55) |
30.09 |
29.70 (-0.39) |
29.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
369.45 |
354.75 (-14.70) |
428.27 |
425.39 (-2.88) |
425.39 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.93 |
4.59 (-0.34) |
5.94 |
5.64 (-0.29) |
5.64 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
30.18 |
36.53 (+6.35) |
34.36 |
40.11 (+5.75) |
40.11 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
396.18 |
461.04 (+64.86) |
411.36 |
459.99 (+48.63) |
459.99 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.81 |
6.40 (+0.59) |
5.62 |
6.14 (+0.53) |
6.14 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Iowa |
12.58 |
31.51 |
+18.94 |
44.09 |
19.63% |
L 14-24 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-10 |
Idaho State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 78-28 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Air Force |
26.07 |
38.24 |
+12.17 |
64.30 |
30.48% |
L 21-39 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-24 |
James Madison |
27.39 |
46.31 |
+18.92 |
73.71 |
19.65% |
L 38-45 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Connecticut |
36.60 |
25.58 |
-11.02 |
62.19 |
67.68% |
W 34-33 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-08 |
Colorado State |
38.22 |
33.22 |
-5.00 |
71.44 |
58.01% |
W 44-24 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Fresno State |
33.17 |
36.43 |
+3.26 |
69.60 |
44.78% |
L 32-37 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@San José State |
29.37 |
44.96 |
+15.59 |
74.33 |
25.00% |
L 21-42 |
3-5 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@San Diego State |
33.02 |
31.32 |
-1.70 |
64.33 |
52.73% |
W 32-24 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Nevada |
39.58 |
21.14 |
-18.44 |
60.72 |
79.57% |
W 41-24 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-19 |
Boise State |
30.00 |
45.16 |
+15.15 |
75.16 |
25.70% |
L 10-45 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-24 |
@New Mexico |
43.85 |
33.85 |
-10.00 |
77.70 |
66.04% |
W 44-41 |
6-6 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-23 |
Georgia State |
37.59 |
33.17 |
-4.43 |
70.76 |
57.10% |
L 22-45 |
6-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.02% |
| 2-11 |
0.38% |
| 3-10 |
2.23% |
| 4-9 |
7.72% |
| 5-8 |
16.64% |
| 6-7 |
24.14% |
| 7-6 |
23.37% |
| 8-5 |
15.66% |
| 9-4 |
7.20% |
| 10-3 |
2.17% |
| 11-2 |
0.40% |
| 12-1 |
0.05% |
| 13-0 |
0.00% |